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I Supported Toymods
Location:
Nthn Beaches, Sydney
Registered:
October 2004
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Mon, 29 August 2005 02:33
 
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| Callifo wrote on Mon, 29 August 2005 12:17 |
| BabyZ wrote on Mon, 29 August 2005 09:15 |
There are actually 4 possible outcomes:
The player picks goat number one. The game host picks goat number two. Switching will win the car.
The player picks goat number two. The game host picks goat number one. Switching will win the car.
The player picks the car. The game host picks goat number one. Switching will lose.
The player picks the car. The game host picks goat number two. Switching will lose
2/4 chances of winning = 1/2. Changing your choice still gives you the same 50% chance of winning.
(Hey, I could be wrong, but this is my theory after 23.5 seconds of thought...)
Edit: No, I didn't read through all of the chat convo, it got too annoying 
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Not trying to be picky but shouldnt it be,
The player picks goat number one. The game host picks goat number two. Switching will win the car.
The player picks goat number one. The game host picks goat number two. Not switching will loose.
The player picks goat number two. The game host picks goat number one. Switching will win the car.
The player picks goat number two. The game host picks goat number two. Not switching will loose.
The player picks the car. The game host picks goat number one. Switching will lose.
The player picks the car. The game host picks goat number one. Not switching will win.
The player picks the car. The game host picks goat number two. Switching will lose.
The player picks the car. The game host picks goat number two. Not switching will win.
8 possibilities, 4 chances too win, 4 chances to loose, so yes it will be still 1/2 chance.
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Yep, probability is 0.5
The probability that guy is a knob is 1.0 Answer from someone with highest IQ in the world?? Smarter than this guy doesn't make you a genius.
Shiri, you helped me understand what the guy is trying to explain, but you actually ended up proving the 0.5 reasoning. You have to make 2 choices, but it all comes down to the last one, between either right or wrong, switch or don't. No matter what you pick the first time, you always have to make a 2nd pick between the car or a goat, and there's no greater probability picking one than the other.
1 out of 2 = 1/2 = 0.5
(It's actually 3 out of 6 possible outcomes = 3/6 = 0.5;
car, then switch/stay, goat 1 then switch/stay, and goat 2 then switch/stay)
GT
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| | Subject | Poster | Date |
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THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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xolent | Sun, 28 August 2005 14:47 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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ae86drift | Sun, 28 August 2005 15:06 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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tyottsoarer | Sun, 28 August 2005 15:09 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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ShiRi | Sun, 28 August 2005 15:12 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Sun, 28 August 2005 23:15 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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BabyZ | Sun, 28 August 2005 23:45 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Callifo | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:17 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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-gt- | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:33 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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ShiRi | Sun, 28 August 2005 15:20 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mc68 | Sun, 28 August 2005 15:24 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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tyottsoarer | Sun, 28 August 2005 15:32 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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ae86drift | Sun, 28 August 2005 17:42 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Sun, 28 August 2005 23:51 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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xolent | Mon, 29 August 2005 01:17 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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draven | Mon, 29 August 2005 01:30 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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RWDboy | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:25 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:25 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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BabyZ | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:38 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:40 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Callifo | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:51 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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RWDboy | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:41 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:54 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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rthy | Mon, 29 August 2005 02:58 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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-gt- | Mon, 29 August 2005 03:04 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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rthy | Mon, 29 August 2005 03:16 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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ndgcpr | Mon, 29 August 2005 22:52 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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RWDboy | Mon, 29 August 2005 03:22 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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RWDboy | Mon, 29 August 2005 03:36 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Caledwvech | Mon, 29 August 2005 09:52 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Mon, 29 August 2005 10:00 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Tue, 30 August 2005 01:26 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Squid | Tue, 30 August 2005 02:25 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 02:31 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Squid | Tue, 30 August 2005 02:43 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Tue, 30 August 2005 02:32 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Squid | Tue, 30 August 2005 02:38 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 02:41 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Tue, 30 August 2005 02:57 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 03:01 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Tue, 30 August 2005 03:12 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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draven | Tue, 30 August 2005 03:05 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 03:11 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Shraka | Tue, 30 August 2005 03:50 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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RWDboy | Tue, 30 August 2005 03:55 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Tue, 30 August 2005 04:19 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Tue, 30 August 2005 04:02 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Tue, 30 August 2005 04:39 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 04:43 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 04:47 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Tue, 30 August 2005 04:50 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 04:53 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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white86 | Tue, 30 August 2005 05:44 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Tue, 30 August 2005 06:35 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Squid | Tue, 30 August 2005 23:45 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 05:50 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 06:46 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Callifo | Tue, 30 August 2005 07:02 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Tue, 30 August 2005 07:04 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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BabyZ | Tue, 30 August 2005 07:39 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Callifo | Tue, 30 August 2005 07:44 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Shraka | Tue, 30 August 2005 13:20 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 13:30 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Shraka | Tue, 30 August 2005 13:49 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Tue, 30 August 2005 14:01 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Tue, 30 August 2005 14:03 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Shraka | Tue, 30 August 2005 14:07 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Wed, 31 August 2005 01:05 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Wed, 31 August 2005 01:14 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Wed, 31 August 2005 01:19 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Wed, 31 August 2005 01:27 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Wed, 31 August 2005 01:45 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Wed, 31 August 2005 01:47 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Wed, 31 August 2005 02:03 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Wed, 31 August 2005 14:29 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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SupraPete | Thu, 01 September 2005 04:40 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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Shraka | Thu, 01 September 2005 05:06 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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poh_86 | Fri, 02 September 2005 09:53 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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mynameisrodney | Fri, 02 September 2005 10:11 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Fri, 02 September 2005 10:15 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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trevtrev | Mon, 05 September 2005 03:14 |
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Re: THE STUPIDEST RIDDLE EVER!!
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CrUZsida | Mon, 05 September 2005 03:22 |
